LANSING, Mich. (Michigan News Source) – Despite his recent conviction, an exclusive Michigan News Source poll conducted by Mitchell Research shows Former President Donald Trump (48.2%) with a narrow 0.6%  lead over President Joe Biden (47.6%) in a trial ballot question for the 2024 Presidential race. That leaves 4.2% as undecided.

Additionally, a five-way race with Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. increases Trump’s lead to 1.2%.

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“Michigan could be the deciding state in terms of the next president,” Steve Mitchell of Mitchell Research and Communications told Michigan News Source.

The polling found the race continues to narrow since a March 15-16 poll when Trump led by three percent in a two-way race and two percent in a 5-way race.

Mitchell said the most important issue to voters are the economy/jobs, threats to democracy, and border security/immigration. However, he pointed out the issues vary in importance depending on the party.

“All these issues are specific to one party,” Mitchell said. “The economy is 43% with Republicans followed by the border. The top issues for Democrats are threats to democracy and health care,” Mitchell said.

These results are likely not surprising to anyone tracking the political winds. Republicans are primarily on the front lines sounding the alarm about the porous southern border and increased inflation. Democrats, like Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson, are beating the “threat to democracy” drum. Gov. Gretchen Whitmer keeps health care in the news with her “fight like hell” mantra championing abortion.

Other points of note include which demographics side with either candidate. Biden leads with women (51% – 43%), and Trump leads with men (54% – 42%). Trump leads (52%-45%) with white voters and (59%-21%) with non-African American people of other races.  Biden leads with African Americans (76%-17%).